Use this URL to cite or link to this record in EThOS:
Title: Essays on the economics of crime and policing
Author: Matsa, Ariana
ISNI:       0000 0004 8506 2728
Awarding Body: University of Birmingham
Current Institution: University of Birmingham
Date of Award: 2019
Availability of Full Text:
Access from EThOS:
Access from Institution:
In this thesis we contribute to the debate on how economic incentives affect crime. As shown by theoretical models, deteriorating labour market opportunities can shift an individual’s incentives to engage in legitimate or illegitimate acts. In the first chapter, using a panel data analysis, we empirically test the relationship between U.S. business cycles and burglary rates. We find that increasing benefits is more effective at reducing countercyclical crime than providing unemployment support for an extended period. The second chapter utilises a novel measure of income inequality and two measures to capture the incentives of the unemployed and low-income earners in a dynamic panel-data model to evaluate their effect on different types of crime in England and Wales. The findings strongly support the pervasive relationship between economic indicators and property crime, both in short- and long-run. Finally, the third chapter builds a predictive solvability model by examining how the presence and absence of factors, during the preliminary phase of the investigation, determine case solvability of fraud and cybercrime. The predictive capabilities of the model are assessed on an external validation sample and the findings show a high degree of accuracy.
Supervisor: Not available Sponsor: Not available
Qualification Name: Thesis (Ph.D.) Qualification Level: Doctoral
EThOS ID:  DOI: Not available
Keywords: HB Economic Theory ; HV Social pathology. Social and public welfare