Use this URL to cite or link to this record in EThOS: | https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.779001 |
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Title: | In harm's way? : infrastructure investments and the persistence of coastal cities | ||||||
Author: | Balboni, Clare Alexandra |
ISNI:
0000 0004 7964 7033
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Awarding Body: | London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) | ||||||
Current Institution: | London School of Economics and Political Science (University of London) | ||||||
Date of Award: | 2019 | ||||||
Availability of Full Text: |
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Abstract: | |||||||
Coasts contain a disproportionate share of the world's population, reflecting historical advantages, but environmental change threatens a reversal of coastal fortune in the coming decades as natural disasters intensify and sea levels rise. This thesis considers whether large infrastructure investments should continue to favour coastal areas. I use a dynamic spatial equilibrium framework and detailed georeferenced data from Vietnam to examine this issue and find evidence that coastal favouritism has significant costs. Road investments concentrated in coastal regions between 2000 and 2010 had positive returns but would have been outperformed by allocations concentrated further inland even in the absence of sea level rise. Future inundation renders the status quo significantly less efficient. Under a central sea level rise scenario, welfare gains 72% higher could have been achieved by a foresighted allocation avoiding the most vulnerable regions. The results highlight the importance of accounting for the dynamic effects of environmental change in deciding where to allocate infrastructure today.
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Supervisor: | Not available | Sponsor: | Not available | ||||
Qualification Name: | Thesis (Ph.D.) | Qualification Level: | Doctoral | ||||
EThOS ID: | uk.bl.ethos.779001 | DOI: | Not available | ||||
Keywords: | GE Environmental Sciences ; HC Economic History and Conditions | ||||||
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