Title:
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Political connections, corporate governance and credit risk : empirical evidence from Chinese commercial banks
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Although recent studies in corporate governance have paid notable attention to the value of
political connections and the performance of corporate boards following a wave of
scandals across the globe, we know relatively little about whether the distribution of power
between politically connected CEOs and the composition of board of directors has much
impact on managerial risk-taking behaviour in emerging countries. In this study we
examine the impact of politically connected CEO, the monitoring role of independent
directors and the extent of the actual control of ownership concentration on credit risk in
Chinese banks over the period of 2003-2014. We used two-step system generalized method
of moment (SGMM) to measure a sample data of 88 banks in Chinese commercial banks.
Subsequent robustness checks, were conducted by adding governance variables and
different time periods to support main results and address the endogenous problems by
using the two-step system generalized method of moment (SGMM) estimator.
We find that politically connected CEO has a positive impact on credit risk while the
proportion of independent directors exerts negative and significant influence on credit risk.
Our sub-sample analysis based on ownership type indicates that government ownership of
bank is more susceptible to credit risk while independent directors in private banks tend to
be effective monitors and controls. The results are robust after controlling macroeconomic
and bank-specific variables. Moreover, we also examine the relationship between the
degree of ownership concentration and the default risk of Chinese commercial banks. The
results find that the ownership concentration of GOBs and POBs has negative and positive
influences, respectively.
The thesis found that politically connected CEOs are positively and significantly
associated with the credit risk of Chinese commercial banks. However, the presence of
independent directors has a negative and significant impact on the credit risk of the
Chinese banking system. Regarding bank ownership structure, the study shows that the
degree of ownership concentration exhibited a negative/positive and significant effect on
the credit risk of the Chinese banking industry. Further analysis using sub-samples divided
into different types of Chinese commercial banks, namely, the government ownership of
banks (GOBs) and private ownership of banks (POBs).
Overall, our study sheds light on the influences of political connections on credit risk in
Chinese commercial banks. This study can be used to equilibrate the distribution of power
in respect of monitoring arrangement and decision-making on credit risk, contribute to the
agency theory and resource dependence theory. In fact, this study has the implication of
good corporate governance which is able to ameliorate excessive risk-taking and control
credit risk.
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