Title:
|
The economics of windmills for large electricity grids
|
Windmills are high capital, low fuel cost plant,whose output
is intermittent, difficult to predict from one moment to the next, and
yet statistically correlated to the output from other devices which are
separated geographically. In that conventional plants used for
electricity generation are often characterised as sources of firm
power which is controllable, windmills are often viewed very differently
from conventional plant. The economic evaluation of windmills has, in
the past, reflected this perceived difference.
In this thesis the methods that have commonly been used to
evaluate the economics of wind power have been examined critically, as
have the methods and planning models used for the economic evaluation
of conventional power plant. A mathematical model is introduced which
can be used in evaluating the economics of both intermittent energy
sources and conventional plant,and this model is used throughout the
thesis for detailed calculations of the production costs of electricity
generation systems which employ wind powered plant.
Less detailed but more versatile mathematical models are also
introduced and these are used to examine the sensitivity of the
economics of windmills to changes in fossil fuel prices, wind turbine
performance, maintenance and capital costs. Results from these studies
are used in examining the economics of windmills in the UK,and in
predicting the optimal design of wind turbines for use with a given
utility system.
|