Title:
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Measuring residential segregation in England and Wales : a
model-based approach
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In this thesis, we propose an innovative model based approach to the measurement and analysis
of segregation. Historically, segregation has been measured using descriptive indices that provide
summary measurements. We demonstrate that these indices are inherently biased. Further, they
lack measures of statistical certainty, do not control for stochastic variation, are frequently aspatial,
cannot cope with multiple scales and dimensions simultaneously and have no mechanism for the
inclusion of explanatory models. We explore a multilevel modelling approach which remedies these
issues and we argue that this approach is a more appropriate representation of the complexity of
modern society.
We illustrate the innovation using one of the traditional focuses of segregation research: the
residential environment and analyse the changing residential segregation in England and Wales
during the first decade of the twenty-first century. In these case studies we show that the
residential segregation of benefits claimants has decreased during this period. Moving on to
investigate the geographical inequality of mortality, we demonstrate that there is a great deal of
stochastic variation in the raw data, and a further extension of the approach using a Poisson
multilevel model is necessary to uncover the underlying trends. Conversely to common
understanding the model reports no evidence of increasing inequality in the risk of mortality, that
the highest levels of inequality were for those of working age and that the highest inequalities in
the risk of mortality at the neighbourhood scales were found at the lowest end of the income scale.
The final case study sets up a unique exploration of residential segregation by age, ethnicity and
educational attainment in eight of the largest built up areas in the UK. We found the largest
segregation was in the non-ESWI populations and those with low levels of educational attainment,
along with a small decrease with age. All these findings were made possible by the flexible
methodology proposed in this thesis.
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