Title:
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Impact of government policy, institutions and macroeconomic factors on FDI in Nigeria
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There is increasing inflows of FDI into developing economies; yet, systematic studies
on determinants of FDI in developing economies are scarce. Against this backdrop, this
study examined three key issues nan1ely; the role of government, the impact of
institutions and macroeconomic factors on inward FDI in Nigeria. The study used
annual data collected from CBN, UNCTAD, World Bank and PRS group. To achieve
the first objective, the study grouped the government investment policy changes
adopted over the period 1962- 2012 into three major phases: limited promotion (1962-
1969), restrictive practice (1970-1985) and liberal policies and reform phases (1986-
2012). Impact and implications of government foreign investment policies on trends of
FDI inflows into Nigeria was examined using trend analysis. The study found that
annual growth rate of total inward FDI was highest during the liberal policy and reform
phase, and was least during the restrictive practice phase. The study also found that
annual growth rate of inward FDI was: higher in the oil sector than in the non-oil sector
during the SAP era (1986-1994), higher in the non-oil sector than in the oil sector after
NIPC reform (1995- 2012), and annual growth rate of total inward FDI was higher
during the SAP era (1986- 1994) than after the NIPC reform (1995- 201 2).
The study used CCR and FMOLS regressions models to analyse the second and third
objectives and showed that political instability, easing bureaucratic impediments,
democratic accountability, government expenditure, trade openness and market size had
positive and significant impact on inward FDI in Nigeria. Finding on interest rate was
inconclusive and exchange rates have negative and significant impact on inward FDI in
Nigeria. However, high inflation has a negative and insignificant impact on inward FDI
while investment risks have positive and insignificant impact on inward FDI in Nigeria.
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