Title:
|
Hybrid macroscopic modelling of vehicular traffic flow in road networks
|
Macroscopic modelling of road traffic flow is far from complete, different models exhibit strengths
when used in varying situations. Continuum models, based on fluid dynamics are accurate and
robust in describing traffic on a single road. Knowledge-based models, derived from heuristics
based on either statistical methods or Artificial Intelligence techniques and are efficient at
describing traffic processes at intersections.
Neither of the existing approaches is separately able to capture effectively traffic dynamics in road
networks.
The thesis Introduces a hybrid macroscopic approach, combining continuum methods and
knowledge-based models. It Is implemented using three different forecasting methods, namely
neural network, random walk and SARIMA models each coupled with the Lighthill-Whitham and
Richards continuum model. Results from numerical experiments confirm the promising features of
the introduced approach in describing effectively traffic dynamics in road networks. The
developed models are theoretically rigorous, numerically reliable, computationally efficient and
suitable for real world applications.
|