Title:
|
Replication methods applied to issues of non independence in the designs of contingent valuation experiments
|
The author's intention in presenting this thesis is to develop new and simple to apply analytic
methods to robustly estimate and compare Willingness to Pay (WTP) estimates and
particularly to develop tests for statistical significance in these differences by estimating
sampling variance appropriate to the method, taking into account the correlation between
estimates incorporating the CV methods and or sampling designs.
In particular I am interested in testing differences in estimated valuation statistics, such as
Median WTP and thus overcoming aspects of non independence in the welfare estimates due
to the design of the survey methodology e.g. in Double Bounded Dichotomous choices the
estimate of the Double Bounded welfare estimate is not independent of the Single Bounded
estimate because of the nature of the DB method.
The use of replication here refers specifically to resampling methods that are used to provide
variances of differences by simulating the sampling distribution by randomly resampling and
thus quantifying the sampling variation. Here 3 of the 4 papers presented use either the
bootstrap or jac1dmife method to produce the sampling variation of difference. The fourth
paper uses a split sample approach to test individual WTP differences with a pooled Benefit
Transfer estimate.
The thesis presents four papers from 4 separate stated preference studies using different
Contingent Valuation question formats which are used to evaluate WTP for: Improvement to
Animal Welfare, Child safety on farms, Values of Forest recreation and Renewable
Electricity generation in Chile.
The theme of the thesis is to test for differences in estimates in WTP estimates between
various within sample and across samples designs. These tests are used in 2 papers to test for
the occurrences of inconsistency between SB and DB estimates and to test for anchoring of
the second bid in relation to the level of the first bid offered amount in DBDC and thus to test
for respondent behavioural effects such as Learning on inconsistency and anchoring.
|