Title:
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An investigation into energy saving via retrofit compared to replacement housing
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The global rise in air and ocean temperatures and the recent weather extremes
demonstrate that climate change is unequivocal. The UK has legislatively committed
to an 80% reduction in CO2 levels by 2050 based on the 1990 level. Its residential
sector is responsible for 30% of the C02 emissions where by space heating is
responsible for 66% of domestic energy consumption. 75% of dwellings already
occupied will still be in use by 2050 with new dwellings only adding 1 % per year to
existing stock levels. The aim of this research is to develop a matrix by which
decisions can be made to help decide on the best use of resources to reduce CO2
emissions for different types and ages of dwellings in Northern Ireland.
To derive a constructional baseline of the dwellings in Northern Ireland, the
background calculations used to generate all lodged EPCs undertaken to date were
obtained and analysed as part of this research. The SPSS Statistics programme was
used to recode and extract all the EPC construction data. Floor plans of dwellings
built from pre 1919 to date were obtained from Building Control. IES (Ve) was then
used to dynamically simulate the performance of the dwellings and the effect of
subsequent possible alterations to their thermal envelope. Costs were estimated for
their refurbishment and replacement. A novel decision making matrix was then
developed to categorise each type I age of dwellings and determine what was the best
use of resources i.e. retrofit energy saving features or demolish and rebuild the
dwellings to reduce C02 emissions.
Of 80 variations, 64% of emissions were generated from 13 dwelling types I ages. To
make deep cut CO2 savings, most of these dwellings ought to be fully refurbished
rather than replaced. This research has highlighted that the indiscriminate and ad hoc
approach to retrofit is not going to optimise CO2 reduction. There should be a focus
placed on the dwellings which can readily achieve deep cut emission savings and
specifically retrofitting features to achieve the best value for money.
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