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Title: Macroeconomics of economic transition-determinants of the pattern of development
Author: Petkov, Boris T.
ISNI:       0000 0004 5362 9208
Awarding Body: University of Birmingham
Current Institution: University of Birmingham
Date of Award: 2015
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Our objective is to try to understand the rationale for and the effectiveness of different economic policies in a transition. We provide consistent, comprehensive analysis covering the interlinked questions of: i) how to achieve sustained, balanced/diversified economic growth; the main constraints are: government failure, human capital limitation, and corruption; ii) "what break-ups do to countries"; breakup countries experience deeper and shorter economic crisis, growing afterwards faster; iii) is there a prospect for economic convergence in the "club" of the 28 former centrally planned economies; we explore for a first time the issue-they are expected to reach half the distance to their non-growth steady state in around 50 years; iv) what is the quality of governance relationship with the resource "curse" or "blessing"; negative effect would obtain only in countries with poor institutional structures; v) what insights to the Dutch disease transmission mechanism can be provided by the Salter-Swan model; vi) is the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis valid; we confirm its validity; and, vii) what are the most important sovereign yield spreads determinants, and propose the impact from financial market volatility; and, our empirical approach takes account of recent advances in econometric analysis of time series-fractional cointegration.
Supervisor: Not available Sponsor: Not available
Qualification Name: Thesis (Ph.D.) Qualification Level: Doctoral
EThOS ID:  DOI: Not available
Keywords: HB Economic Theory