Title:
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Understanding water scarcity and climate variability : an
exploration of farmer vulnerability and response strategies
in northwest India
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Rainfed farming in semi-arid India is marked by its vulnerability to climate variability,
accelerating resource degradation, and asset constrained populations. With climate change
poised to exacerbate existing stresses on smallholder farming, there is a need to understand
the factors constraining and enabling farmer adaptation. Integrated watershed development
has emerged as a policy instrument to encourage and institutionalise sustainable natural
resource use, to diversify rural livelihoods, and to build local capacity and propel rural
development. Against this backdrop, this study had three main objectives: to examine
farmers ' perceptions of water scarcity and climate variability in a semi-arid rainfed region of
India and see whether these perceptions are reflected in meteorological records; to understand
why some farmers are more vulnerable than others to these stressors; and to examine what
strategies farmers undertake in response to perceived risk, and understand the decisionmaking
process behind their choice of certain strategies. The study draws from the actorcentric
vulnerability framework, which places the human system (here, the farming
household) at the centre and explores vulnerability through its three determinants: exposure to
a stressor (water scarcity and climate variability), system sensitivity, and adaptive capacity of
the system. Situating the fieldwork in Pratapgarh, a predominantly tribal district in the
semiarid state of Rajasthan, data was collected over one agricultural year (2011 to 2012)
covering the monsoon (kharif) and winter (rabi) seasons. Differential vulnerability was
explored between villages, between households within a village, and within households to
develop a clear picture of local vulnerability. Towards this, data was collected in two sites:
one with a watershed intervention operational for five years and the other with no intervention
except for State-run public welfare schemes. A blend of household surveys (semi-structured
interviews), focus group discussions, direct observation, open-ended key informant
interviews, and in-depth case histories were used to collect data.
Farmer narratives demonstrated that households interpret, experience and respond to climatic
and non-climatic changes concurrently. The drivers of household vulnerability were an
ensemble of highly localised and individual factors (intra-household dynamics and local
socio-cultural norms) and macro-scale forces (global market demand, national policies,
regional climate variability). These drivers were experienced together to inform farmer
response decisions and livelihood strategies. This study found that tribal farmers in
Pratapgarh were far removed from the caricature of passive victims of climate change and
made proactive and reactive responses to changes in their environment. However, household-level
response decisions were constrained by local and cross-scale factors, as well as factors
perceived as beyond the decision maker's control. The thesis demonstrates how an
understanding of livelihood trajectories and dynamic vulnerability pathways that incorporates
views from the vulnerable, can allow agricultural and development policy to incorporate
differential vulnerability, especially in the context of increasingly interdependent and
multiple-scale drivers.
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