Title:
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Analyzing the effectiveness of transboundary water regimes : the case of Lake Victoria Basin, East Africa
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This thesis examines the effectiveness of transboundary water regimes. Water is the only
scarce resource for which there is no known substitute. However, ecological sustainability of
shared water resources is being lost in many countries as current international frameworks
suffer from differences that exist between institutional functions, practices, objectives, and
bio-physical properties. To address this gap, this thesis starts from the premise that analyses
of the effectiveness of transboundary water regimes are capable of shedding light to prescribe
transboundary water governance.
This thesis explores effectiveness of a transboundary water regime in Africa, principally the
Lake Victoria Basin, home to largest freshwater lake in Africa, and second largest lake in the
world. It is an important source of local and international freshwater fisheries, benefiting
about 35 million people locally. As such, the basin provides a globally significant but
surprisingly under-researched venue for testing theoretical interpretations of transboundary
water regime effectiveness using state of the art methodological approaches. By employing a
Regime Analytic Levels Process model, never used before, data were collected through elite
interviews and documentary analysis, analyzed, and then synthesized.
The results are as follows. The regime creation process (inputs) was dominated by process
factors mainly in implementing the operational directives of donors and development
partners, rather than understanding the underlying problem factors. The regime architecture
analysis (outputs) suggests that procedural (rather than substantive) characteristics formed
the basis of the regime’s architecture. The regime impacts analysis shows the regime
underperformed in relation to those components that addressed substantive concerns.
The global effectiveness of the regime was 41.6 per cent, basically procedural in character.
This suggests it failed to establish a ‘duty of care’ with insufficient ‘programme of measures’
that governed the conduct of actors in the long term. These findings suggest the regime is not
sustainable. The following recommendations are suggested: to focus donor effort on
substantive characteristics to socialize actors via a ‘duty of care’; to establish secure sources
of funding to support long-term efforts; to merge the regime with wider national-level
activities in the basin; and to establish a sufficient programme of measures, inform and prevent.
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