Title:
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Structural decisions in on-line process optimization
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In this work, a method is presented for estimating the likely economic benefit
from installing a steady state on-line optimizer on a plant. The objective of an online
optimization scheme is to track the real process optimum as it changes with time.
This must be achieved while allowing for disturbances to the process, ensuring process
constraints are not violated. The benefit gained depends on the structure of the on-line
optimizer. This structure includes the measurements used for the estimation of model
parameters, parameters estimated in the model and the variables which are used as set
points for passing the optimization results to the regulatory control level of the process.
Using the estimate of the economic benefit, the "best" structure of the optimizer can be
determined.
The disturbances to the process have be described by both statistical and deterministic
means. With a given disturbance description and set of structural decisions, an
average economic return for the process with on-line optimization can be estimated. This
average is found using a second order Taylor series expansion of the non-linear process
model at a nominal operating condition. The average economic return of the process can
be directly traded off against the cost of the necessary equipment for installing a particular
on-line optimizer (i.e. instrument costs).
Two sets of examples are presented. In the first set of examples all of the process
model structures can be captured using the second order Taylor series expansion. These
examples are used to demonstrate the different features of the analysis of an on-line
optimization structure. The second set of examples demonstrates the analysis on a model
of the Williams-Otto plant. This case study is used to test the procedure on a non-linear
case study. The results generated are compared against Monte Carlo simulations of the
non-linear process.
Finally there is a discussion and summary of the conclusions from examples and
suggestions for potential areas for further research.
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