Title:
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Bias reduction in exponential family nonlinear models
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The modified-score functions approach to bias reduction (Firth, 1993) is continually gaining
in popularity (e.g. Mehrabi & Matthews, 1995; Pettitt et al., 1998; Heinze & Schemper,
2002; Bull et al., 2002; Zorn, 2005; Sartori, 2006; Bull et al., 2007), because of the superior
properties of the bias-reduced estimator over the traditional maximum likelihood estimator,
particularly in models for categorical responses. Most of the activity is noted for
logistic regression, where the bias-reduction method neatly corresponds to penalization
of the likelihood by Jeffreys prior and the bias-reduced estimates are always finite and
beneficially shrink towards the origin.
The recent applied and methodological interest in the bias-reduction method motivates
the current thesis and the aim is to explore the nature and widen the applicability of the
method, identifying cases where bias reduction is beneficial. Particularly, the current
thesis focuses on the following three targets:
i) To explore the nature of the bias-reducing modifications to the efficient scores and
to obtain results that facilitate the application and the theoretical assessment of the
bias-reduction method.
ii) To establish theoretically that the bias-reduction method should be considered as
an improvement over traditional ML for logistic regressions.
iii) To deviate from the flat exponential family and explore the effect of bias reduction in some commonly used curved models for categorical responses.
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