Title:
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Market timing and corporate debt issuance
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This thesis comprehensively examInes the relationship between corporate debt
issuance and market timing. The focus is on the different issues of debt market
timing across the different stages of corporate debt issuance from pre-issue
considerations, to implementation and post-issue influences. It also covers different
aspects of debt issue decisions including maturity, yield type and issue volume.
The thesis starts with an investigation of what motivates debt issue decisions based
on the framework of risk management, and finds that timing the debt market rather
than hedging the interest rate exposure is the primary motivation for firms
choosing yield types and maturities for their newly issued debt. The thesis then
explores the information and mechanism behind debt market timing
implementation, and finds that managerial market timings of debt issuances are
simply responses to fluctuations in market conditions, while their predictions of
future market variations are generally unsuccessful. Finally, the thesis examines the
influences of debt market timing on capital structure of firms. It was found that,
although debt market timing of issue volume results in the abnormal deviation of
the debt ratio and impacts on firms' capital structures in both the short and
long-term, managers appear to make no effort to reverse the deviations of capital
structure. Rather, they continue to time the market afterwards. Therefore, as
regards the implications for capital structure, market timing has a long-term
influence.
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