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Title: Bounded vision : Strategic level decision-making from an operational research perspective.
Author: Huxham, C. S.
ISNI:       0000 0001 3585 5584
Awarding Body: University of Sussex
Current Institution: University of Sussex
Date of Award: 1979
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In recent years, it has often been suggested that Operational Research should concern itself more with helping decision-makers to solve strategic level problems, rather than the tactical ones it has mainly applied itself to in the past. This being so, in order to gain an understanding of what these problems involve, it seems necessary to gain some .knowledge of the strategic decisionmaking process itself. Th~ aim of this thesis is therefore to further this knowledge, and in particular, to try to understand why decision-makers often fail to make the best decisions available to them. This thesis takes two parts. In the first, a list of possible theories about reasons for decision-making failures is built up and, following Stinchcombe's methodology for scientific research, these are tested using a number of historical case studies of decisionmaking in complex situations. From this part of the study, it is concluded that limitations in the world view of decision-makers appear to be some of the major causes of failure. In part two of the thesis, these conclusions are extended by the study of a current world problem, the shipping crisis. A description and some analysis of the problem is built up using a relatively new technique for dealing with complex problems, Hypergames. At the same time, some insight into possible reasons and underlying causes of the limitations in world view is gained. This is combined with views expounded in the literature on the subject, to form some general conclusions. In particular, it is suggested that limitations in world view can occur on a number of levels ranging from only one individual to infection of whole organisations. Finally, some conclusions about the role of Operational Researchers in strategic management are given, based on the results of these investigations.
Supervisor: Not available Sponsor: Not available
Qualification Name: Thesis (Ph.D.) Qualification Level: Doctoral
EThOS ID:  DOI: Not available