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Title: A study of the subjective probability assessments necessary for the analysis of the risk in major capital investment opportunities
Author: Hull, J. C.
ISNI:       0000 0001 3584 1457
Awarding Body: Cranfield University
Current Institution: Cranfield University
Date of Award: 1976
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Five case studies are analysed in depth and other investigations are carried out in order to answer questions concerned with: (i) the nature of the distributions which are output from risk evaluation models; (ii) the important features of the distributions which are input to risk evaluation models; (iii) the accuracy with which different methods for assessing subjective probability distributions are capable of providing the inputs to risk evaluation models; (iv) the way in which dependencies should be dealt with in risk evaluation models; (v) the extent to which it is possible to distinguish important probability assessments from unimportant probability assessments in risk evaluation models.
Supervisor: Cass, T. ; Adelson, R. M. Sponsor: Not available
Qualification Name: Thesis (Ph.D.) Qualification Level: Doctoral
EThOS ID:  DOI: Not available