Title:
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Towards strategic evaluation of regional spatial policies : a case study of North West England
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Over the last forty years, but particularly in the past two decades, the regions of
England have been subject to a wide variety of policy interventions, targeted on
specific places. These locations are typically deprived inner-cities or other
economically lagging areas, of which there a disproportionately large number in
England's North West. Given the current vogue for evidence-based policy and the
mantra of 'value for money' that now suffuses central government, there is a strong
imperative to determine the extent to which such policies actually work. Whereas
most spatial policy evaluations are predisposed to answering the question of what has
happened, and when, this research seeks to answer the fundamentally spatial question
of where impacts have occurred, regardless of the intended target area. At present, the
methods available to determine the extent to which particular policy instruments have
spatial effects are limited. This represents something of a strategic oversight for
national and regional government, since any spatial effects generated by targeted
policy could, in theory, have negative impacts for a wider region, thereby nullifying
any local success. Such a result could work against the government's stated desire to
reduce the persistent gap in growth rates between regions, it is argued. This 'gap in
the market' of spatial policy is unfortunate, but it is also opportune since it provides
the substantive justification for this thesis and for further work in the field.
The aim of the research is to develop methods to test for the spatial effects of area
based policy in England's North West - though such methods could, of course, be
applied in other regions. This is achieved in several stages. First, a conceptual
framework for understanding spatial effects is forwarded, followed by an examination
of the rationale and objectives for area based intervention. In this part, particular
attention is paid to the Single Regeneration Budget. Second, the methodological
framework is proposed so that the North West can be used as a test case in order to
determine the nature and extent of spatial processes resulting from targeted policy.
Third, the methods previously identified are applied and tested with reference to the
urban core of the North West. A combination of strategic economic indicators,
regional analysis techniques and dynamic data analysis is used here. Finally,
conclusions are drawn as to the validity of the methods and the extent of any spatial
effects that result from area based policy intervention. By going beyond the
boundaries of traditional area based policy evaluation methods, this research shows
that spatial effects are identifiable in the North West and that they are often
unfavourable for the very locations targeted by policy in the first place.
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