Use this URL to cite or link to this record in EThOS:
Title: Problems in longterm forecasting and planning, with reference to transport and energy
Author: Baker, T. M.
ISNI:       0000 0001 3440 6920
Awarding Body: Open University
Current Institution: Open University
Date of Award: 1981
Availability of Full Text:
Access from EThOS:
Access from Institution:
In this thesis I have set out my experiences of forecasting in the long term. (I have taken long term to be anything beyond 5 to 10 years). I have set forecasting in its context as a component of the planning process and have related the problems of forecasting to the ensuing problems in planning. The main areas I have covered are Transport and Energy, in a UK context. However I have touched on other fields and I expect the conclusions I have drawn about forecasting and planning to apply to many fields. The thesis is in two parts plus appendices. In the first part I report three substantial pieces of research. They illustrate many of the problems associated with forecasting, and I examine possible solutions to these problems. In the second part I describe how forecasts are made and some of the problems inherent in forecasting. I then examine why forecasts appear to be necessary in the planning/ policy making process. I conclude with the implications that my views on forecasting.
Supervisor: Not available Sponsor: Not available
Qualification Name: Thesis (Ph.D.) Qualification Level: Doctoral
Keywords: Management & business studies