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Title: An energy model for Thailand
Author: Keeratiwiriyaporn, Sansanee
Awarding Body: University of Edinburgh
Current Institution: University of Edinburgh
Date of Award: 1998
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An increase in difficulty both in supplying sufficient energy to meet demand and in providing adequate capital for investment in the power industry has prompted the Thai government to put intensive effort into focusing Thailand's national energy policy on increasing production capacity of local energy while stabilising growth in energy demand. A number of energy policy programmes aiming to serve this effort has been proposed and some have been implemented. Certainly, these policy measures would affect, to some extent, the balance of energy demand and supply in Thailand. However, due both to the long delay and to the complexity underlying dynamic behaviour of the energy system, it is necessary to understand such policy options and investigate their long-term effectiveness before implementation. This is a resource- and time-consuming process and frequently could delay decisions and actions. With the advent of personal computers and graphical programming, a policy-based model of a complex system can be formulated to explore dynamic consequences of such a system. This model can also be tested under different policies and conditions, to ultimately provide information on which to make decisions. This thesis analyses the dynamic behaviour of Thailand's energy system. The insight obtained from the analysis is then used to develop a computer simulation model "TEEM" proposed to be used as a tool to assess the long-term effectiveness of alternative energy policy measures. In this model, causal structure and feedback control mechanisms are identified in the context of the interrelationships between components of energy and other related sectors i.e. population and production sectors in the Thai economy. Based on such causal mechanisms, the model successfully generated output that is able to be viewed as benchmarks, providing a means for assessing long-term consequences of current energy policies and thus testing possible policy alternatives.
Supervisor: Not available Sponsor: Not available
Qualification Name: Thesis (Ph.D.) Qualification Level: Doctoral
EThOS ID:  DOI: Not available