Use this URL to cite or link to this record in EThOS: http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.501344
Title: Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones
Author: Mailier, Pascal
Awarding Body: The University of Reading
Current Institution: University of Reading
Date of Award: 2007
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Abstract:
The clustering in time (seriality) of extratropical cyclones is responsible for large cumulative insured losses in western Europe, though surprisingly little scientific attention has been given to this important property. This study has investigated and quantified the seriality of extratropical cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere using a point-process approach. A possible mechanism for serial clustering is the time-varying effect of the large-scale flow on individual cyclone tracks. Another mechanism is the generation by one 'parent' cyclone" of one or more 'offspring through secondary cyclogenesis. A long cyclone-track database was constructed for extended October to March winters from 1950 until 2003 using 6-hourly analyses of 850-mb relative vorticity derived from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. A dispersion statistic based on the variance-to-mean ratio of monthly cyclone counts was used as a measure of clustering. It reveals extensive regions of statistically significant clustering in the European exit region of the North Atlantic storm track and over the central North Pacific.
Supervisor: Not available Sponsor: Not available
Qualification Name: Thesis (Ph.D.) Qualification Level: Doctoral
EThOS ID: uk.bl.ethos.501344  DOI: Not available
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